WASHINGTON (AP) — Americans pulled back on their spending in January, even as their incomes surged, a sign the economy was growing modestly before the threat of coronavirus arose.
The Commerce Department said on Friday that consumer spending increased 0.2 per cent last month, down from 0.4 per cent in December and the smallest gain since October. Incomes, however, rose 0.6 per cent, the most significant rise in nearly a year, spurred by bigger pay cheques and an increase in Social Security benefits stemming from a cost of living adjustment.
The additional income could help offset the likely drag from this week’s stock market plunge and the broader threat from the coronavirus, which has caused many economists to slice their estimates for growth in the first three months of the year. Most analysts now forecast that the US economy will expand at a roughly 1.5 per cent annual pace in the first quarter, down from 2.1 per cent in the fourth quarter.
The viral outbreak in China has spread to more than 30 countries and has disrupted global supply chains, forcing many companies to mark down their profit estimates. Microsoft and Apple are among those that have said the disease and factory shutdowns in China have made it impossible for them to meet demand for their products.
Should the coronavirus spread in the United States and more broadly overseas, economists worry that a sharp, if brief, a recession could ensue.
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